That's more like it, baby. Not only did my picks of Green Bay, New England, Dallas, San Fransisco, and Detroit go 5/5, but my new and improved system correctly picked the game winner in 11 out of 14 games played last week. My only misses were the NY Giants, NY Jets (Tebow!!!!) and Buffalo. So, where is our new and improved method taking us this week? Let's find out.

Teams used: Arizona, Detroit, Tennessee, Tampa Bay, NY Giants, Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Baltimore, Kansas City, Philadelphia, New England

Houston over Jacksonville (85%): Here is the problem with a completely historically based method; it doesn't know about things like injured quarterbacks and good run defenses. My brain is firing off all kinds of alarm bells. Divisional game! Road game! Matt Leinert! Let's see what our other options are.

Pittsburgh over Kansas City (82%): KC actually looked frisky for a half against New England. Punt return touchdowns always make the score look crazier than the game might have suggested. Still, KC couldn't move the ball at all and has looked terrible in three straight games. Too bad I already used Pittsburgh. Let's keep looking.

Carolina over Indy (76%): Loving road teams this week, apparently! Carolina looked primed for the upset against Detroit last week, until their defense let them down. They are, Cam Newton or no, still a bad team. But they aren't on pace for historical badness like Indy. Definitely worth a look.

Arizona over St. Louis (73%): St. Louis has not gotten enough credit for how bad they have been this year. Maybe Spagnuolo wants his old job back as the Giants defensive coordinator? Anyway, I've already used Arizona.

Cincinnati over Cleveland (72%): Now THIS is an interesting play. By all measures other than running the football, Andy Dalton has actually been a better QB than Cam Newton this year. Do we still not believe in them?

Since there are other viable options on the table, I'm giving Houston at least a week to prove they can be competent with Leinert under center. And, I did just say Dalton has been better than Newton this year, right?

The pick: Cincinnati