jesse
@ November 6, 2008


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3
On Monday, I challenged you, the Obscure Nation, to try to beat my prediction of the Electoral Map.  In keeping with the spirit of this historic election, you responded in near record numbers - that's right, two people entered!!

The final Electoral Map shows Obama with 364 electoral votes, McCain with 174.

My map was hopelessly pessimistic. I predicted an Obama victory, but with only 291 votes to McCain's 247.  I think some of the excess red on that map might be from me cutting myself. 

The winner of the challenge is William Ockham, who predicted Obama would take down 376 electoral votes.  His only misses were Missouri and part of Nebraska, which he put in Obama's column.  Here's how the standings break down.

First place: Reality, Obama 364 - McCain 174
Second place: Willie O, Obama 376 - McCain 162 (+12)
Third place: Nate Silver,  Obama 349 - McCain 189 (-15)
Fourth place (tie): Kevin CJ, Obama 338 - McCain 200 (-26)
Fourth place (tie): Karl Rove, Obama 338 - McCain 200 (-26)

(Hey, have you ever seen Kevin and Karl Rove in the same place? I know I haven't.  Interesting...)

Last place: My dumb ass, Obama 291 - McCain 247 (-73)

Thanks everyone for playing.  Or not playing.  Whatever.

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Well, since you brought it up, check out the AP's map (NYT version to avoid AP links). They have not called Missouri or Nebraska CD-2. The count is 364-162, with 12 outstanding (11 in MO, and that 1 in NE). I could still be exactly right...

I suppose - but I had to declare a winner in this contest sometime before everyone forgot that the election happened. I have, frankly, exhausted myself talking about it. On to speculation about the cabinet!

Stop writing about politics. STOP IT. STOP IT. STOP IT. Give some advice to people, answer the Suze, do something else.

I only have one thing to say about this election: "Some men get the world. Others get ex-hookers and a trip to Arizona." (name the movie, dammit, NAME IT)

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