jesse
@ April 19, 2008


----------
1
Remember in school when you would get questions like this:

A train leaves Chicago at 6:45 going 50 miles per hour.  Another train leaves Detroit at 5:15 going 70 miles per hour.  If its 400 miles between the two cities, where do the trains meet? (Answer: Fuck you teacher!!!)

Well, turns out, you were right when you said you would never need to know how to do that.  Turns out word problems are much harder than that.  Things are not so simplified; you are not given all the information; and, most of the time, you don't even know the question being asked of you is a math problem.  This recurring feature will aim to highlight when a topic in the news is actually a word problem, and then I will try to solve it.

Today's question:  Should I be in favor of John McCain's proposed "gas-tax" holiday?

The answer actually depends on who you are.  I will attempt to answer it from several points of view.  Here are some facts that should be considered with each answer.

The current gas tax is 18.4 cents per gallon (24.4 cents per gallon on diesel fuel).
Estimates peg the value of this tax to the US government at $10 billion.
As of this writing, the national average cost of gasoline is $3.39.
As of this writing, oil costs $113 per barrel.

Here is the answer if you are bad at math:

$3.39 - $0.18 = $3.21, therefore, cheaper gas! Hooray!

Here is the answer if you are good at math:

I'm an average American.  I consume 500 gallons of gas per year.  During the summer months, I'll consume roughly 30% of this gasoline, or 150 gallons.  Therefore, this tax reduction will personally save me about $27 this year.  Uh, that's pretty good, I guess.  Hope the government didn't need that $10 billion dollars for anything.

minnesota-bridge-collapse.jpgHere is the answer if you are an economist:

The average driver reduces consumption in response to rising prices once prices cross approximately $2.50 per gallon.  Decreasing the price per gallon should result in higher consumption.  Per gallon spending drops, but overall spending on fuel will remain roughly constant.  Therefore, the effect of this tax will be to remove $10 billion from the federal budget, and transfer those funds to the gasoline and oil industry.

Here is the answer if you are the gasoline industry:

Sweet, we're going to make another $10 billion dollars this summer.

----------

Look, I see your point, but it's not like the consumers are being forced to hand an extra $10 billion to the oil barons. Even if I take your assumption that every dime of it will go to buy more gas, well, ok I guess Americans love buyin' gas. So we don't get $10 billion in free money, but 3.1 billion gallons of free gas. With that much gas, I can afford to drive around the collapsed bridge! Or maybe I'll do something smart with my $27, like spend it on corn.

Leave a comment





Blog directory

Powered by Movable Type 4.1